Poorly Organized Fred Could Bring Wet, Breezy Conditions to Central Alabama

Upper-level winds and land interaction leaves Fred disorganized at the moment. Currently, Fred is moving in a west-northwestward direction at 10 to 15 miles per hour. According to the National Weather Service in Birmingham, Fred’s “track forecast continues to trend farther to the west, with a turn to the north expected over the next couple of days.”

8:00 AM EDT Sat Aug 14 Fred Inforation
Location: 23.0°N 82.8°W
Moving: WNW at 13 mph
Min pressure: 1013 mb
Max sustained: 35 mph

How organized will Fred become? That big question could be answered over the next 24 hours. The outcome of the system is due to the “continued influence from nearby weather features.” Some models are even indicating that Fred could become an open wave. If strengthening occurs, Fred’s center could be near Pensacola, Florida, by Monday evening.

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This means that the current track and impacts could change depending on the outcome of how Fred maneuvers over the next 24 hours. Please stay informed.

Possible Central Alabama Impacts from the National Weather Service Birmingham:

Wind:

• What:  Breezy winds with gusts up to 30-35 mph
• Where:  Mainly near / east of Interstate 65 and south of Interstate 20
• When: Tuesday

Flooding:

• What:  Increased rain activity but widespread flooding is not anticipated at this time
• Where:  Much of Central Alabama
• When: Tuesday

James Spann, ABC 33/40, and Townsquare Media Tuscaloosa Chief Meteorologist notes that for “inland Alabama, rain will increase late Monday night and Tuesday; heaviest rain will be over the eastern half of the state where 1-2 inches are likely. For now major flooding issues are not expected, and a tornado threat looks unlikely for now.”

Then there was Grace

Hurricane season is in its peak months for activity. Right now, Grace is moving quickly westward toward the Leeward Islands. We will continue to monitor this system as well.

Spann says that “Tropical Storm Grace is forecast to remain below hurricane strength over the next five days; the latest NHC forecast track has it near the southern tip of Florida Wednesday night. It is too early to know what, if any, impact this will have on Florida or the rest of the Southeast U.S.”

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