Could a Tropical System Be Heading to the U.S. Gulf & Alabama Coast?

Those along the Gulf Coast have been encouraged to monitor the future development of a broad area of low pressure in the Northwestern Caribbean Sea and Southeast.

This area might develop over the western and northwestern Caribbean Seas by early next week.

Formation Chances

The National Hurricane Center said, “It has a near zero chance of formation through 48 hours and a medium (40 percent) chance in the next 7 days.”

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Projected Development

Following that, this system may gradually develop, potentially forming a tropical depression as it slowly moves north or northwest over the northwestern Caribbean Sea and into the southern Gulf of Mexico by the middle of next week.

Why Should Those Along the Gulf Coast Pay Attention?

James Spann, Chief Meteorologist for ABC 33/40 and Townsquare Media Tuscaloosa stated that the two major global models differ in their outcomes.

“The European keeps a weak tropical low in the Southwest Gulf of Mexico through the next ten days, but the American GFS brings the system toward the central Gulf Coast at the end of next week.”

Here Are the Conditions Needed for the System To Head Toward the Gulf Coast

[Science Time] “The greater the influence from that jet stream, the more likely the system would get drawn north toward the U.S. Gulf Coast, said The Weather Channel. “If it has less of an influence, then the system might move northwest toward Mexico's Yucatan Peninsula and the southwest Gulf, possibly stalling for a time, with its future track beyond that point uncertain.”

Townsquare Media Weather Center Thoughts

We closely monitor potential developments that could impact the Gulf and Alabama Coastline during every hurricane season. Although we are inland, impacts could happen in our Townsquare Media Coverage area.

Stay tuned to your favorite Townsquare Media radio station and the Tuscaloosa Thread app for updates throughout the weekend and beyond as we provide more details on what to expect.

Mary K. – Townsquare Media Weather Forecaster