2025 Hurricane Forecast Changes: What It Means for Alabama

The peak of hurricane season typically happens between mid-August and late October, with the height of the activity around mid-September.

Several factors in the atmosphere and ocean become more favorable during this time, such as “tropical waves are more defined,” “dry, dusty air diminishes,” wind shear decreases,” “sea-surface temperatures are warmest,” and “instability increases,” said The Weather Channel.

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Earlier this year, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) published its 2025 hurricane season predictions. The original forecast called for the following:

60% chance of an above-average season
30% chance of a near-average season
13-19 named storms with 6-10 hurricanes, and 3-5 major hurricanes (Cat 3+).

Now, NOAA has provided an update about the season forecasting the following:

50% chance of an above-average season
35% chance of a near-average season
Named Storms – 13-18
Hurricanes – 5-9
Major Hurricanes (Cat 3+) – 2-5

As the peak of the hurricane season is here, it’s important to stay informed and prepared, even if you reside inland, as hurricanes can track from the Alabama coastline into and through Alabama.

Mary K. – Weather Forecaster

LOOK: The most expensive weather and climate disasters in recent decades

Stacker ranked the most expensive climate disasters by the billions since 1980 by the total cost of all damages, adjusted for inflation, based on 2021 data from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). The list starts with Hurricane Sally, which caused $7.3 billion in damages in 2020, and ends with a devastating 2005 hurricane that caused $170 billion in damage and killed at least 1,833 people. Keep reading to discover the 50 of the most expensive climate disasters in recent decades in the U.S.

Gallery Credit: KATELYN LEBOFF