Alabama Severe Weather Saturday
After taking a look at the latest data coming in this afternoon, we've decided to increase our severe threat area to Enhanced for much of Central Alabama. In addition, we've refined the threat timing, trimming it down from 12PM Saturday in the west to 1AM Sunday morning in the east. That being said, MANY uncertainties remain in this forecast.
WHAT ARE THE UNCERTAINTIES?
1) Timing of the line of storms
2) How much instability will be available as the storms move through
The big question will be how far east this line will move by Saturday morning. Some forecast guidance is hinting at the line moving into northwest Alabama earlier in the day, which would limit severe potential for those locations. However, there is also a chance that line could also slow down, and allow more unstable air to push northward Saturday afternoon. That's why we've gone ahead and upgraded much of the area to an Enhanced Risk, looking at that "worst-case" scenario of more unstable air being available.