Please don't let your guard down yet, a serious severe weather threat remains for the counties around West Alabama through Christmas Eve.

A tornado outbreak has already occurred in North Mississippi on Wednesday, and although as of 8:00 p.m. there is no active warnings, conditions remain ripe for quick severe weather development.

Just because there is no severe weather now, doesn’t mean there won’t be any severe weather in coming hours. The combination of shear, instability, and dynamics continue to support a significant threat of severe storms across Alabama tonight, and into the daytime hours tomorrow. This is a long duration event. The highest STP (significant tornado parameter) values are now near the Alabama/Mississippi border, and severe storms could form at any time over West Alabama. Storms can fire out of nowhere in a hurry in this pattern.

The below map demonstrates what he is talking about.

James Spann vis alabamawx.com
James Spann vis alabamawx.com
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Let's break it down into layman terms on what to expect as we go through the evening, we're not out of the wood yet. A real threat for severe thunderstorms and tornadoes remain possible, especially between now and 2 a.m.

NWS Birmingham
NWS Birmingham
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The risk is not a great after 2 a.m., but at this point remains a possibility through 8 a.m.

NWS Birmingham
NWS Birmingham
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As we go through the morning on Christmas Eve the threat level drops across West Alabama.

NWS Birmingham
NWS Birmingham
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